My point in this post is not to sort out which types of polls are more accurate than others, though that might come in a later post. Instead, I'm interested in looking at the average rate of polling error.
Image via CrunchBaseGovernment reform orgs. deliver news on major events within their areas of expertise. From: Black Box Voting
BBV ALERT: "The Count" starts in 2 days: Instructions for Protect the Count
Black Box Voting was asked by YouTube to prepare an easy to follow public education program for Protecting the Count on ELECTION NIGHT and the days that follow. We collaborated with Videothevote.org and Election Defense Alliance. YouTube has created a Channel called Video Your Vote. The Black Box Voting Protect the Count series contains important information and several video clips never before made public.
Please distribute immediately and as widely as you can. EASY INSTRUCTIONS: View the videos that best fit your location.
1. Protect the Count - most locations in America(4 min) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I3_xFb1sWKU Takes 90 minutes on Election Night. You can even go out after polls have closed. Please also view video # 3, because it shows what to look for to identify tampered poll tapes and the kinds of small errors on tapes that can appear with memory card tampering. Upload any video you take to http://www.videothevote.org - Post link or comments for what you found in the state and jurisdiction at http://www.blackboxvoting.org
2. Protect the Count - Absentee / Central Count (8 min) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZp3rA1XXjw (Applies to 13 states with CENTRALLY COUNTED ballots and/or HEAVY ABSENTEE VOTING) These are the most challenging Protect the Count locations.
3. Protect the Count - New England / New Hampshire(5 min) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CV4M12w6tY4 If you live anywhere in New England and can drive to any voting machine location in New Hampshire to observe and video poll closing, please do so. If you live anywhere in America that has polling place results tapes, please look at this video to see what tampered tapes look like. Contact Protect the Count - New Hampshire organizers at protectthevote@gmail.com You can view the list for which New Hampshire locations use voting machines here: http://www.bbvforums.org/forums/messages/157/157.html
4. Protect the Count - New York (9 min) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xmSn4qLdgbU New Yorkers are probably in the best shape for Election 2008, but not for long. This shows the details of how the counting of the lever machines proceeds after polls close, and gives you the details of the fight New Yorkers will have on your hands in 2009.
I'm counting on you to be as proactive as possible to fight for your voting rights. The actions in the Protect the Count series are self-serve, simple to do, and designed for just grabbing a neighbor or a buddy and taking action. Don't worry about blanketing every area or organizing the whole state. Just pick a place and DO it. I guarantee it will be a fascinating and important experience, and could provide THE crucial evidence in the very undesirable event that the election turns out not to be fair.
All Things Reform now has even more voter volunteer opportunities in its lefthand column. A second list for it was made, because Blogger.com, the host blog service from Google, has broken feed modules. Nevertheless, there are still links in the lists that take you right to the volunteer opportunities.
General Election Day is coming upon us- it will be on Tuesday, November 4th, next week. Above all, please vote; the volunteer opportunities listed here include tweeting your voting problems and video recording and uploading your experience. There are many more opportunities that you can engage in, the most important of which is being a poll worker (please sign up soon!) and poll watcher.
>All Things Reform Mobile: allthingsreform.mofuse.mobi >Capitol Switchboard: 202-224-3121 (not toll-free) >US House/Senate Mobile: bit.ly/members >Contact your reps tips: bit.ly/dear >Shortened All Things Reform URL: bit.ly/dw
This upcoming November 4th, 2008, a Tuesday, voters from all across the country will cast their ballots at the polling places for their favorite candidates. Even though we Americans have liked to think we have the best democracy in the world, there will be many problems experienced that day in some areas, such as voter disenfranchisement, poor resources and training of poll workers, and poor management of ballots. However, there are things we all can do to help.
We all know that the present political system in the USA is dominated by only two parties: the Democrats and the Republicans. In this winner-take-all electoral system, the battle between the two party nominees become increasingly heated as General Election Day nears. Big money ad campaigns from independent groups have at times been devastating so close to Nov. 4th. In particular, the Republican Party's activists have misled potential voters in poverty-stricken areas, and both parties' members and non-members alike have vandalized and stolen campaign signs. It is clear that a non-partisan election head official for each state- the Secretary of State- should preside during this time and election day. Let us tell our state representatives we need Secretaries of State not endorsed by any political party.
This year, we all will experience a large increase in voter turnout when compared to previous General Election Days. Polling stations, particularly some in low income regions, experience long lines of voters and sometimes poorly-trained poll workers, due to a lack of necessary resources in money and manpower. There is still time, however, to become a trained poll worker and get paid for your busy day on Nov. 4th- please visit Pollworkers for Democracy for instructions on how you can help.
On recent General Election Days, we have seen mismanagement of filled voter ballots in some states- particularly in 'swing' states where the vote between the two leading candidates was very close. The movement of the ballots to county headquarters had human errors. The conduct of actually counting the ballots lacked training and oversight. You can, however, help by volunteering to count the ballots or be a poll watcher. Election Defense Alliance (ballot-counting) and your local elections office (poll watching) can describe these duties and show how you can participate.
Low-income and poverty-stricken regions have experienced these and more problems and challenges in recent elections. It is all Americans', and especially civic-minded Secretaries of State and political party members' duty to see that fairness in allocation of resources and trained poll workers is experienced in all regions of the country. With the help of poll workers and volunteers this upcoming General Election Day, Tuesday, November 4, 2008, we can enjoy a more productive and pleasant voting experience for low-income citizens and everyone involved.
>All Things Reform Mobile: allthingsreform.mofuse.mobi >Capitol Switchboard: 202-224-3121 (not toll-free) >US House/Senate Mobile: bit.ly/members >Contact your reps tips: bit.ly/dear >Shortened All Things Reform URL: bit.ly/dw
Government reform orgs. deliver news on major events within their areas of expertise. From: Election Protection
We've seen it over and over again: undertrained poll workers causing problems that lead to voters being disenfranchised.
When poll workers don't know what to do when machines break down, misunderstand state law about voters showing photo ID, or can't explain their state's ballot correctly - or when there simply aren't enough of them - votes are lost.
There's an answer to the problem: you.
We've partnered with Credo Mobile to recruit our non-legal members to be poll workers for Election Day 2008.
It's simple and easy: enter your zip code, press join, and you'll be guided through the process. With a full day of your time, you can have a tremendous impact.
Having enough poll workers to handle high turnout on Election Day couldn't be more important - but we're running out of time to recruit the poll workers we need. That's why I'm hoping you will sign up to be a poll worker in this year's election today!
Poll workers are a vital part of a fair, accountable, election in which every voter can cast their ballot and have it counted.
Election Protection is recruiting legal volunteers - but if you don't have a legal background, becoming a poll worker is a fantastic way to help ensure a fair and efficient election. Please consider becoming an official poll worker.
There is a hot presidential election happening now. There are fights over how much control the Democrats will have over the US House and Senate. There are races, in fact, all the way from the local school board to the president, leading to Election Day on November 4, 2008. Be an active part of this election season by becoming engaged in campaign and electoral reforms.
Under "Citizen Volunteer Opportunities" in the lefthand column of this blog, several projects are already underway for you to participate in, including:
World Public Opinion has released results of a poll, revealing that 94% of Americans believe their leaders should pay attention to the views of the people as they're making their decisions. This overwhelmingly asserts our view that "the will of the people should be the basis of the authority of government," the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
More results of the poll are here. Clearly, twice as many Americans (79.9%) believe that America should be governed by the will of the people than believe it is actually occurring (40%). This is reflected by the fact that 81% say when making "an important decision" government leaders "should pay attention to public opinion polls because this will help them get a sense of the public's views."
All Things Reform supports these assertions, and encourages citizens to stay informed of today's news stories from reputable sources and follow up with own opinions on major bills and other issues currently being debated in the legislatures.
I ran across this old poem of several years ago that unfortunately ring true today! It's a tongue-in-cheek experience of a voter's visit to the polling place..
Lasting in Line
is a crazy thing...
There is so much to do
before you can be voting
there is the heartfelt
chatter of hazing,
by those that have voted...
there is the cute
crashing of the computer,
by those that assist voters...
there is the quaint
intimidation,
by those that tell the total vote...
Yes, Lasting in Line
is a crazy thing...
There is so much to do
by those that help voters!
Oh, Lasting in Line
is a crazy thing...
There is so much to do
by those that help voting!
The Polling Place Photo Project is a program of The New York Times and AIGA, the professional association for design. The Polling Place Photo Project is a nationwide experiment in citizen journalism that encourages voters to capture, post and share photographs of this year’s primaries, caucuses and general election. By documenting local voting experiences, participants can contribute to an archive of photographs that captures the richness and complexity of voting in America.
The Associated Press (AP) has published an article about many of the problems experienced by poll workers so far this election season; the Feb. 23rd story is entitled "Precinct hiccups blamed on poor training". These employees often are ill-trained for the variety of voting machines on the market today and complicated voting rules; they sometimes have to manage long voter lines; and possible problems with voter rolls or other election official snafus complicate an already under-appreciated job.
You can help if your state still has not had primaries or caucuses, or you can wait until the upcoming November general elections to assist. Just contact your local elections office for details. Also, there are many nonprofit organizations that reform the electoral process and help voters-- you can find a list of these on this blog's left hand column.
The BRAD BLOG has a very informative audio clip-- an interview with Tom Herman of Vocalo.org about how the general public can help see that the polling place during election day is effective and their ballot counting is accurate. Listen to the clip and get inspired to volunteer for a democratic process the is the best in the world. It's 14 minutes long.
The federal Government Accountability Office (GAO) recently gave testimony to the U.S. Senate's Special Committee on Aging on the current accessibility of polling stations for the aging and disabled. Page 5 of the pdf manuscript (free Adobe Reader required):
The proportion of older people in the United States who may face challenges exercising the right to vote is growing. As of 2003, there were almost 36 million individuals aged 65 or older (12 percent of the population), and the majority have at least one chronic health condition. By 2030, those aged 65 and over will grow to more than 20 percent of the population. Disability increases with age, and studies have shown that with every 10 years after reaching the age of 65, the risk of losing mobility doubles.7 In many ways, lack of mobility and other types of impairments can diminish seniors’ ability to vote without some assistance or accommodation. With increased age, seniors will become more limited in their ability to get to polling places by driving, walking, or using public transportation. Once seniors arrive at the polling places, they may face additional challenges, depending on the availability of accessible parking areas, accessibility of polling places, type and complexity of the voting equipment, availability of alternative voting methods (such as absentee voting), and the availability of voting assistance or aids. Responsibility for holding elections and ensuring voter access primarily rests with state and local governments. Each state sets the requirements for conducting local, state, and federal elections within the state. For example, states regulate such aspects of elections as ballot access, absentee voting requirements, establishment of voting places, provision of election day workers, and counting and certifying the vote. The states, in turn have typically delegated responsibility for administering and funding state election systems to the thousands of local election jurisdictions—more than 10,000 nationwide—creating even more variability among our nation’s election systems. Although state and local governments are responsible for running elections, Congress has authority to affect the administration of elections. Federal laws have been enacted in several major areas of the voting process, including several that are designed to help ensure that voting is accessible for the elderly and people with disabilities. Most importantly, the Voting Accessibility for the Elderly and Handicapped Act (VAEHA), enacted in 1984, requires that political subdivisions responsible for conducting elections assure that all polling places for federal elections are accessible to elderly voters and voters with disabilities (with limited exceptions). Any elderly voter or voter with a disability assigned to an inaccessible polling place, upon his or her advance request, must be assigned to an accessible polling place or be provided with an alternative means for casting a ballot on the day of the election.
NASS (National Association of Secretaries of State) has a 2008 Presidential Primary Info webpage, listing each state's primary dates and caucus/primary, open/closed, voter registration deadline, early voting info, delegate allocation and polling hours. Check your state out right now, to make sure you're prepared to go to the polls on your primary day (if it hasn't occurred yet).
VotersUnite.Org, a non-partisan promoter of fair and accurate elections, has a petition we can send to Congress concerning many of our election machines. We have developed a lack of trustworthiness in many of the new polling machines that have been installed in recent years. If you agree, please take action here. Here's what VotersUnite.Org has to say:
Take Action. It's time to call for accountability in the machinery of our electoral system. Please sign the petition in support of VoterAction's call for Congressional investigations into blatant and destructive commercial fraud in the electronic voting machine industry.
The Brennan Center for Justice provides legal assistance and support for court cases involving elections. They have filed an amicus brief in reference to a very important case pending in Indiana, that requires voters to present a voter ID at the polling place to be eligible to vote. The brief addresses voter fraud implications in the case, in opposition to voter ID's. Here is Brennan Center's story on where they stand:
The Brennan Center filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit challenging the constitutionality of an Indiana law requiring citizens to present photo ID as a condition of voting. In its amicus brief, the Brennan Center argued that impersonation fraud is an extremely unlikely and unsubstantiated occurrence that can be prevented without requiring a photo ID, and that the Indiana law fails to address more common forms of voter fraud. The Center's brief marshalled the best evidence on individual voter fraud and catalogued the practices in other states for preventing voter fraud without resorting to photo ID. On January 4, 2007, the United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit, in an opinion authored by Judge Posner, upheld the lower court decision and found that the state law did not unduly burden the right to vote. Plaintiffs were denied a rehearing en banc on April 5, 2007.
On July 2, 2007, Plaintiffs filed a Petition for a Writ of Certiorari, which was granted on September 25, 2007. The Brennan Center and others filed an amicus brief in support of Petitioners on November 13, 2007. Oral argument is scheduled for January 9, 2008.
The League of Women Voters are the first people to look up for assistance in voting in the next election. They have local and national groups always ready with a wealth of information to make your voting experience the most productive. As many states around the country are having elections next week, LWV sends their greetings and their willingness to help:
It's fall election season! Many jurisdictions have elections on November 6, 2007. Visit the League's VOTE411.org site to find all the election information you need! Your voice will help shape important issues in your community, so please go vote on Tuesday, November 6th. Throughout the year, League members work to register, educate and inform voters on the issues that affect them. Providing quality, nonpartisan voter education remains one of our most important and well-known activities. Go to VOTE411.org to get registered, get educated, and get informed. Better yet- add VOTE411 to your list of online "favorites"!
S 1285, the Fair Elections Now Act, is the Senate version of public financing of campaigns legislation that is also going through the House. If both houses pass their own versions, they will settle in conference on one to send to President Bush. It will then be hoped that Bush will sign the final legislation into law.
S 1285 is very early in the legislative process still; however, http://www.washingtonwatch.org/ has begun an internet poll on whether people like the bill or not. It is now on All Things Reform, in the left hand column for you to vote yourself! I have, and noticed that not too many people on the 'net have voted on this bill yet; so, your vote can make a real impact. I have also added a bill status information box.
If you've ever been in a neighborhood restaurant at 6:30 in the morning, you would have probably met several men sharing coffee and a table; this is a ritual that usually includes the discussion of politics, in addition to the weather, local football, etc. And often when talking politics, there is a consensus about the poor quality of our representatives in Washington, DC.
Of course they aren't entirely serious, and they may be male-bonding a bit, but this is the conventional wisdom with today's presidential candidates in both major parties; we are disgruntled that big money raising events have lifted a few of our candidates to the "top tier", and that that has already lifted to the top of the polls those who will likely win their respective parties' nominations next year.
There are solutions available to voters for this dilemma, however. FairVote is a national organization that promotes electoral reforms, including IRV (Instant Runoff Voting). With IRV, you can rank all of the candidates on the ballot based on your preference-- this eliminates the time and money for runoff elections, but, more importantly, breaks the "winner-take-all" system in place today. There is a growing recognition in all levels of government to the value of this alternative to today's nasty and vitriolic campaigns among all candidates.
FairVote also promotes "proportional representation", "universal voter registration" and other improvements in the quality of America's electoral system. IRV is today's hottest reform, allowing we the people a closer and more honest representation from our future elected officials.